Will European winters be increasingly mild and wet in the coming years? Will there be more extreme precipitation? Will climatic conditions be beneficial for Norwegian fisheries and hydroelectric power production?

Such questions are of large societal importance. Yet we may know more about global warming in a 100-year perspective than how climate in Norway will be in a decade.

The Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit (Bjerknes CPU) is developing skilful climate predictions for these intermediate timescales, bridging the gap between weather forecasting and long-term climate change projections 

The prediction unit assembles a team of world-class scientists at the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research – model developers, observationalists, theoreticians, and forecasters – to develop the World’s most skilful prediction system for northern climate. 

Our cutting-edge Norwegian Climate Prediction Model can forecast Norwegian surface temperature and precipitation, and Arctic sea ice extent up to a decade in advance. It is being used to deliver quasi-operational predictions for climate services.