RA3 Team members

Development of innovative approaches to assess and attribute predictive skill and quantification of the impact of systematic model errors.

Idealized and retrospective forecasts experiments have provided estimates of predictability of climate1. However, large systematic model errors, poor initialization, and limited understanding of mechanisms make these estimates uncertain5,41. We will deliver enhanced NorCPM predictions and estimates of prediction limits by using mechanistic understanding, numerical experimentation with improved models and data assimilation, and multi-model predictions.

• Read more about RA3 approach and methods here